Emerging market equities offer a world of opportunities

Chris Carter, Tarlock Randhawa and Nerys Weir discuss emerging markets, technology companies and the Jupiter Origin team’s investment approach.
01 May 2026 3 mins

Emerging market equities offer a range of potential benefits for investors, including diversification away from US-dominated global benchmarks, relatively lower valuations compared with developed markets, and access to dynamic companies and economies.

Emerging and developing economies now account for around 45% of global GDP, up from 25% in 2000, and have contributed approximately 60% of global economic growth over that period, according to the World Bank1. Much of this expansion has been driven by the three largest emerging markets: China, India and Brazil.

A “cheaper Nasdaq”?

While the emerging market growth story is well known, what is most exciting right now in our view is the opportunity to invest in companies directly benefiting from the twin AI and robotics investment booms.  One could almost view the emerging markets universe as a “cheaper Nasdaq,” offering exposure to companies such as Taiwan Semiconductor (semiconductor manufacturing), Samsung Electronics (memory chips) and SK Hynix (memory chips). These firms are key suppliers to the so-called AI “hyperscalers”, those (primarily US) companies operating massive cloud computing infrastructure at global scale. 

Information technology is the largest sector in the MSCI EM Index, and these three companies are among its largest constituents by market capitalisation. The others include Tencent and Alibaba, which provide exposure to China’s transition towards a more consumer-driven economy.

The MSCI EM Index currently trades on a forward price-to-earnings ratio of around 14.5x2, compared with 18.3x for the MSCI World Index and 23x for the Nasdaq3 itself.

Higher risk, higher dispersion

Emerging market equities can carry higher risks than developed market equities, including greater volatility, currency fluctuations, political instability and regulatory change. Historical examples include financial crises in Southeast Asia (1997), Brazil (1999) and Argentina (2001–02).

While growth in emerging markets has been transformative over the past 25 years, the World Bank highlights challenges such as rising debt burdens, demographic shifts and the increasing costs of climate change.

Performance has also been cyclical. The chart below shows the emerging markets index performance relative to the developed markets index. Emerging market equities underperformed in the late 1990s before rallying through to 2010, followed again by a period of underperformance versus the exceptionally strong US market.  However, emerging markets have once again begun to outperform from this low base, marking the possible start of another strong relative performance cycle, in our view.

Emerging markets performance relative to developed markets 1996-2025

Chart 1 MXEF is the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. MXWO is the MSCI World Index. The graph shows the MSCI Emerging Markets Index divided by the MSCI World Index.

 

 

 

Cumulative Performance (%) to 31 March 2026

 

1 year

3 years

5 years

10 years

20 years

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

26.86

41.09

6.14

66.97

77.35

MSCI World Index

17.35

52.55

51.45

158.37

218.96

Source: Bloomberg, as at 31.3.26. Past performance does not predict future returns.

 Discrete Period Performance (%)   
31/03/2025-31/03/2026MSCI Emerging Markets Index  26.86
 MSCI World Index  17.35
29/03/2024-31/03/2025MSCI Emerging Markets Index  5.58
 MSCI World Index  5.55
31/03/2023-29/03/2024MSCI Emerging Markets Index  5.34
 MSCI World Index  23.15
31/03/2022-31/03/2023MSCI Emerging Markets Index  -13.27
 MSCI World Index  -8.57
31/03/2021-31/03/2022MSCI Emerging Markets Index  -13.27
 MSCI World Index  8.58
31/03/2020-31/03/2021MSCI Emerging Markets Index  55.13
 MSCI World Index  51.76
29/03/2019-31/03/2020MSCI Emerging Markets Index  -19.80
 MSCI World Index  -12.10
30/03/2018-29/03/2019MSCI Emerging Markets Index  -9.63
 MSCI World Index  1.98
31/03/2017-30/03/2018MSCI Emerging Markets Index  22.17
 MSCI World Index  11.50
31/03/2016-31/03/2017MSCI Emerging Markets Index  14.53
 MSCI World Index  12.47

Source: Bloomberg, as at 31.3.26. Past performance does not predict future returns.

Our approach

We believe active investment management is essential in emerging markets, where dispersion of returns across companies is very high. A carefully constructed portfolio of emerging market stocks can offer diversification benefits and help manage volatility. The Jupiter Origin emerging market strategy typically holds 100-150 stocks.

Consistency of investment approach is absolutely key for us. We focus on identifying businesses that demonstrate:

  • higher profitability and growth than the broader market
  • the potential to sustain these advantages
  •  attractive relative value
  • positive earnings and share price momentum

As a result, our portfolios tend to exhibit a blend of growth, value and momentum characteristics relative to the benchmark.

The Jupiter Origin team’s investment approach is grounded in clarity, evidence and discipline. We avoid forecasts and subjective opinions, instead relying on objective data and collective judgment. We believe this helps reduce emotional bias and supports a repeatable, transparent investment process.

We are a small, experienced team with over 25 years of collaboration. This long-standing partnership fosters alignment, trust and efficient decision-making. We have applied this approach consistently since launching our emerging market equities strategy in 2011.

Footnotes

1World Bank policy research paper, From Tailwinds to Headwinds: Emerging and Developing Economies in the Twenty-First Century, as at 7.10.2025.

2All MSCI index data is from MSCI Emerging Markets Index Factsheet, as at 31.3.2026

3Wall Street Journal/ Birinyi Associates as at 24.4.26

Strategy risks

  • Currency (FX) Risk - The Strategy can be exposed to different currencies and movements in foreign exchange rates can cause the value of investments to fall as well as rise.
  • Pricing risk - Price movements in financial assets mean the value of assets can fall as well as rise, with this risk typically amplified in more volatile market conditions.
  • Emerging Markets Risk - Emerging markets are potentially associated with higher levels of political risk and lower levels of legal protection relative to developed markets. These attributes may negatively impact asset prices.
  • Derivative risk - the Strategy may use derivatives solely for efficient portfolio management purposes to reduce costs and the overall risk of the Strategy. Using derivatives can involve a higher level of risk. A small movement in the price of an underlying investment may result in a disproportionately large movement in the price of the derivative investment.
  • Counterparty Default Risk - The risk of losses due to the default of a counterparty on a derivatives contract or a custodian that is safeguarding the strategy's assets.
  • ESG - Investments are selected or excluded on both financial and non-financial criteria. The Strategy's performance may differ from the broader market or other strategies that do not utilize ESG criteria when selecting investments.
  • ESG Data - The Strategy uses data from third parties (which may include providers for research, reports, screenings, ratings and/or analysis such as index providers and consultants) and that information or data may be incomplete, inaccurate or inconsistent.
  • Charges from capital - Some or all of the Strategy's charges are taken from capital. Should there not be sufficient capital growth in the Strategy this may cause capital erosion.
  • Stock Connect Risk - Stock Connect is governed by regulations which are subject to change. Trading limitations and restrictions on foreign ownership may constrain the Strategy’s ability to pursue its investment strategy.

For a more detailed explanation of risks, please refer to the "Risk Factors" section of the prospectus.

The value of active minds: independent thinking

A key feature of Jupiter’s investment approach is that we eschew the adoption of a house view, instead preferring to allow our specialist fund managers to formulate their own opinions on their asset class. As a result, it should be noted that any views expressed – including on matters relating to environmental, social and governance considerations – are those of the author(s), and may differ from views held by other Jupiter investment professionals.

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